A Campaign for Forest Rights could affect these Constituencies in 2019 Some key areas are in Maharashtra, Odisha and Gujarat
17, Mar 2019 | SabrangIndia Staff
In tables, the study shows where the Constituencies where a Campaign for Forest Rights could impact. The earlier part of this series revealed how an analytical study by Community Forest resource-Learning and Advocacy Network shows how the forest and land rights of India’s 200 million forest dwellers, could be, if made into a vibrant election issue, become a deciding factor in how a fourth, i.e. 25 per cent (133 of 543) constituencies vote in the coming general election.
Which are the regions areas and constituencies where this issue could seriously impact?
Critical Value Constituencies
These are i) tribal (ST) constituencies where more than 10% of the eligible voters are also potential Forest Rights Holders or ii) non-tribal constituencies where more than 60% of the eligible voters are also potential Forest Rights holders.
High Value Constituencies
These are i) tribal (ST) constituencies where more than 10% of the eligible voters are also potential Forest Rights Holders or ii) non-tribal constituencies where between 50%-60% of the eligible voters are also potential Forest Rights holders.
| State | PC Name | PC Type | winner Party 2014 | Losing Party 2014 | Margin 2014 | Voters eligible for FRA rights | % total voters eligible of FRA rights | Minimum Forest area eligible for FRA recognition (ha) |
| AP | Araku | (ST) | YSRC | TDP | 91398 | 169539 | 13% | 71391 |
| Chhattisgarh | Korba | GEN | BJP | INC | 4265 | 752257 | 53% | 300802 |
| Gujarat | Bardoli | (ST) | BJP | INC | 123884 | 327410 | 20% | 121835 |
| Jharkhand | Dumka | (ST) | JMM | BJP | 39030 | 304568 | 24% | 35939 |
| Jharkhand | Hazaribagh | GEN | BJP | INC | 159128 | 800687 | 53% | 208226 |
| Jharkhand | Kodarma | GEN | BJP | CPI(ML)(L) | 98654 | 869316 | 53% | 171832 |
| Jharkhand | Palamu | (SC) | BJP | RJD | 263942 | 957072 | 58% | 260304 |
| Jharkhand | Rajmahal | (ST) | JMM | BJP | 41337 | 317363 | 23% | 60818 |
| Karnataka | Bellary | (ST) | BJP | INC | 85144 | 342205 | 23% | 85540 |
| Karnataka | Raichur | (ST) | INC | BJP | 1499 | 251028 | 15% | 25821 |
| MP | Dhar | (ST) | BJP | INC | 104328 | 455766 | 27% | 126266 |
| MP | Khargone | (ST) | BJP | INC | 257879 | 482457 | 28% | 91534 |
| Odisha | Bargarh | GEN | BJD | BJP | 11178 | 752015 | 53% | 43639 |
| Odisha | Bolangir | GEN | BJD | BJP | 104299 | 920886 | 59% | 90131 |
| Odisha | Dhenkanal | GEN | BJD | BJP | 137340 | 800918 | 59% | 96254 |
| Odisha | Kalahandi | GEN | BJD | BJP | 56347 | 842832 | 57% | 59048 |
| Rajasthan | Dausa | (ST) | BJP | NPP | 45404 | 388773 | 26% | 122736 |
| Uttarakhand | Almora | (SC) | BJP | INC | 95690 | 722564 | 58% | 280926 |
| Uttarakhand | Garhwal | GEN | BJP | INC | 184526 | 540188 | 43% | 175792 |
| Uttarakhand | Tehri Garhwal | GEN | BJP | INC | 192503 | 353086 | 26% | 656194 |
Good Value Constituencies
These are non-ST Constituencies where potential forest rights holders voters are between 30%-50% of the eligible voters in the constituency.
| State | PC Name | PC Type | winner Party 2014 | Losing Party 2014 | Margin 2014 | Voters eligible for FRA rights | % total voters eligible of FRA rights | Minimum Forest area eligible for FRA recognition (ha) |
| Chhattisgarh | Mahasamund | GEN | BJP | INC | 1217 | 509706 | 34% | 127947 |
| Gujarat | Panchmahal | GEN | BJP | INC | 170596 | 632610 | 40% | 75873 |
| HP | Kangra | GEN | BJP | INC | 170072 | 472986 | 38% | 347773 |
| HP | Mandi | GEN | BJP | INC | 39856 | 443461 | 39% | 506772 |
| Jharkhand | Giridih | GEN | BJP | JMM | 40313 | 586067 | 39% | 113423 |
| Jharkhand | Singhbhum | (SC) | BJP | JBSP | 87524 | 507703 | 44% | 123779 |
| Karnataka | Bidar | GEN | BJP | INC | 92222 | 597579 | 37% | 44822 |
| Karnataka | Dakshina Kannada | GEN | BJP | INC | 143709 | 576966 | 37% | 141619 |
| Karnataka | Shimoga | GEN | BJP | INC | 363305 | 485649 | 31% | 254062 |
| Karnataka | Udupi Chikmagalur | GEN | BJP | INC | 181643 | 450594 | 32% | 204342 |
| Karnataka | Uttara Kannada | GEN | BJP | INC | 140700 | 676939 | 47% | 869255 |
| Kerala | Alathur | (SC) | CPM | INC | 37312 | 437200 | 36% | 58756 |
| Kerala | Palakkad | GEN | CPM | SJ(D) | 105300 | 431384 | 36% | 84487 |
| Kerala | Wayanad | GEN | INC | CPI | 20870 | 582397 | 47% | 127495 |
| MP | Balaghat | GEN | BJP | INC | 96041 | 737306 | 45% | 178035 |
| MP | Chhindwara | GEN | INC | BJP | 116537 | 587436 | 42% | 232452 |
| MP | Damoh | GEN | BJP | INC | 213299 | 589040 | 36% | 145252 |
| MP | Khandwa | GEN | BJP | INC | 259714 | 563119 | 32% | 131256 |
| Maharashtra | Ahmednagar | GEN | BJP | NCP | 209122 | 642417 | 38% | 78926 |
| Maharashtra | Baramati | GEN | NCP | RSP | 69719 | 683738 | 38% | 77815 |
| Maharashtra | Bhandara-Gondiya | GEN | BJP | NCP | 149254 | 749053 | 45% | 126163 |
| Maharashtra | Madha | GEN | NCP | SWP | 25344 | 522514 | 30% | 44302 |
| Maharashtra | Raigad | GEN | SHS | NCP | 2110 | 501565 | 33% | 117788 |
| Maharashtra | Ramtek | (SC) | SHS | INC | 175791 | 558625 | 33% | 95900 |
| Maharashtra | Shirdi | (SC) | SHS | INC | 199922 | 469207 | 32% | 75333 |
| Maharashtra | Shirur | GEN | SHS | NCP | 301814 | 568151 | 31% | 69447 |
| Maharashtra | Wardha | GEN | BJP | INC | 215783 | 565992 | 36% | 62270 |
| Odisha | Aska | GEN | BJD | INC | 311997 | 450145 | 32% | 20747 |
| Odisha | Balasore | GEN | BJD | BJP | 141825 | 597779 | 44% | 11985 |
| Odisha | Berhampur | GEN | BJD | INC | 127720 | 437969 | 33% | 91339 |
| Odisha | Cuttack | GEN | BJD | INC | 306762 | 452635 | 33% | 33963 |
| Odisha | Jajpur | (SC) | BJD | INC | 320271 | 522418 | 40% | 32332 |
| Odisha | Puri | GEN | BJD | INC | 263361 | 443887 | 32% | 22739 |
| Rajasthan | Jhalawar-Baran | GEN | BJP | INC | 281546 | 674337 | 40% | 325712 |
| West Bengal | Purulia | GEN | AITC | AIFB | 153877 | 593474 | 40% | 45273 |
Medium Value Constituencies
These are non-ST Constituencies where potential forest rights holders voters are between 20%-30% of the eligible voters in the constituency.
| State | PC Name | PC Type | winner Party 2014 | Losing Party 2014 | Margin 2014 | Voters eligible for FRA rights | % total voters eligible of FRA rights | Minimum Forest area eligible for FRA recognition (ha) |
| Andhra Pradesh | Hindupur | GEN | TDP | YSRC | 97325 | 336878 | 23% | 82407 |
| Andhra Pradesh | Nellore | GEN | YSRC | TDP | 13478 | 341816 | 21% | 71387 |
| Andhra Pradesh | Rajampet | GEN | YSRC | BJP | 174762 | 361865 | 24% | 75217 |
| Andhra Pradesh | Tirupati | (SC) | YSRC | BJP | 37425 | 366163 | 23% | 146896 |
| Bihar | Jamui | (SC) | LJP | RJD | 85947 | 366171 | 24% | 83713 |
| Chhattisgarh | Janjgir-Champa | (SC) | BJP | INC | 174961 | 357947 | 21% | 49337 |
| Chhattisgarh | Rajnandgaon | GEN | BJP | INC | 235911 | 378587 | 24% | 121934 |
| Gujarat | Sabarkantha | GEN | BJP | INC | 84455 | 419246 | 26% | 96464 |
| HP | Hamirpur | GEN | BJP | INC | 98403 | 310825 | 25% | 68621 |
| HP | Shimla | (SC) | BJP | INC | 84187 | 240290 | 21% | 199157 |
| Jharkhand | Ranchi | GEN | BJP | INC | 199303 | 458347 | 28% | 85558 |
| Kerala | Idukki | GEN | IND | INC | 50542 | 335021 | 29% | 228731 |
| Madhya Pradesh | Guna | GEN | INC | BJP | 120792 | 329634 | 21% | 136827 |
| Madhya Pradesh | Khajuraho | GEN | BJP | INC | 247490 | 503515 | 30% | 90828 |
| Madhya Pradesh | Sagar | GEN | BJP | INC | 120737 | 375051 | 25% | 113202 |
| Madhya Pradesh | Satna | GEN | BJP | INC | 8688 | 425270 | 29% | 192760 |
| Madhya Pradesh | Tikamgarh | (SC) | BJP | INC | 208731 | 371293 | 24% | 71544 |
| Madhya Pradesh | Vidisha | GEN | BJP | INC | 410698 | 478198 | 29% | 309175 |
| Maharashtra | Bhiwandi | GEN | BJP | INC | 109450 | 438747 | 26% | 167106 |
| Maharashtra | Chandrapur | GEN | BJP | INC | 236269 | 452258 | 26% | 168213 |
| Maharashtra | Dhule | GEN | BJP | INC | 130723 | 484420 | 29% | 118647 |
| Maharashtra | Hingoli | GEN | INC | SHS | 1632 | 405378 | 26% | 136603 |
| Maharashtra | Jalna | GEN | BJP | INC | 206798 | 335921 | 21% | 48180 |
| Maharashtra | Ratnagiri-Sindhudurg | GEN | SHS | INC | 150051 | 289741 | 21% | 56938 |
| Maharashtra | Raver | GEN | BJP | NCP | 318068 | 342112 | 21% | 48844 |
| Maharashtra | Sangli | GEN | BJP | INC | 239292 | 353644 | 21% | 29644 |
| Maharashtra | Satara | GEN | NCP | IND | 366594 | 463865 | 27% | 105443 |
| Maharashtra | Yavatmal-Washim | GEN | SHS | INC | 93816 | 514738 | 29% | 136243 |
| Rajasthan | Bharatpur | (SC) | BJP | INC | 245468 | 446550 | 26% | 87530 |
| Rajasthan | Bhilwara | GEN | BJP | INC | 246264 | 470581 | 27% | 127138 |
| Rajasthan | Chittorgarh | GEN | BJP | INC | 316857 | 390077 | 21% | 201878 |
| Rajasthan | Jaipur Rural | GEN | BJP | INC | 332896 | 409036 | 24% | 80168 |
| Rajasthan | Jalore | (SC) | BJP | INC | 381145 | 416921 | 23% | 188201 |
| Rajasthan | Karauli-Dholpur | (SC) | BJP | INC | 27216 | 399796 | 26% | 225838 |
| Rajasthan | Kota | GEN | BJP | INC | 200782 | 351084 | 20% | 203572 |
| Rajasthan | Tonk-Sawai Madhopur | GEN | BJP | INC | 135311 | 369665 | 22% | 115966 |
| Tamil Nadu | Dharmapuri | GEN | PMK | AIADMK | 77146 | 379150 | 28% | 182933 |
| Tamil Nadu | Krishnagiri | GEN | AIADMK | DMK | 206591 | 278530 | 20% | 148844 |
| Telangana | Khammam | GEN | YSRC | TDP | 11974 | 299974 | 21% | 175647 |
| Telangana | Medak | GEN | TRS | INC | 361277 | 315287 | 21% | 54780 |
| Telangana | Nizamabad | GEN | TRS | INC | 167184 | 307474 | 21% | 90611 |
| Telangana | Zahirabad | GEN | TRS | INC | 144631 | 375398 | 26% | 84021 |
| Uttar Pradesh | Hamirpur | GEN | BJP | SP | 266788 | 352897 | 20% | 40312 |
| Uttar Pradesh | Jhansi | GEN | BJP | SP | 190467 | 465853 | 24% | 59338 |
| Uttar Pradesh | Robertsganj | (SC) | BJP | BSP | 190486 | 479134 | 29% | 142184 |
| West Bengal | Alipurduars | (SC) | AITC | RSP | 21397 | 352159 | 24% | 82179 |
| West Bengal | Bankura | GEN | AITC | CPM | 98506 | 321601 | 21% | 52505 |
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