A Campaign for Forest Rights could affect these Constituencies in 2019

SabrangIndia Staff

6 years ago

In tables, the study shows where the Constituencies where a Campaign for Forest Rights could impact. The earlier part of this series revealed how an analytical study by Community Forest resource-Learning and Advocacy Network shows how the forest and land rights of India’s 200 million forest dwellers, could be, if made into a vibrant election issue, become a deciding factor in how a fourth, i.e. 25 per cent (133 of 543) constituencies vote in the coming general election.

Which are the regions areas and constituencies where this issue could seriously impact?

Critical Value Constituencies

These are i) tribal (ST) constituencies where more than 10% of the eligible voters are also potential Forest Rights Holders or ii) non-tribal constituencies where more than 60% of the eligible voters are also potential Forest Rights holders.

High Value Constituencies

These are i) tribal (ST) constituencies where more than 10% of the eligible voters are also potential Forest Rights Holders or ii) non-tribal constituencies where between 50%-60% of the eligible voters are also potential Forest Rights holders.

State	PC Name	PC Type	winner Party 2014	Losing Party 2014	Margin 2014	Voters eligible for FRA rights	% total voters eligible of FRA rights	Minimum Forest area eligible for FRA recognition (ha)
AP	Araku	(ST)	YSRC	TDP	91398	169539	13%	71391
Chhattisgarh	Korba	GEN	BJP	INC	4265	752257	53%	300802
Gujarat	Bardoli	(ST)	BJP	INC	123884	327410	20%	121835
Jharkhand	Dumka	(ST)	JMM	BJP	39030	304568	24%	35939
Jharkhand	Hazaribagh	GEN	BJP	INC	159128	800687	53%	208226
Jharkhand	Kodarma	GEN	BJP	CPI(ML)(L)	98654	869316	53%	171832
Jharkhand	Palamu	(SC)	BJP	RJD	263942	957072	58%	260304
Jharkhand	Rajmahal	(ST)	JMM	BJP	41337	317363	23%	60818
Karnataka	Bellary	(ST)	BJP	INC	85144	342205	23%	85540
Karnataka	Raichur	(ST)	INC	BJP	1499	251028	15%	25821
MP	Dhar	(ST)	BJP	INC	104328	455766	27%	126266
MP	Khargone	(ST)	BJP	INC	257879	482457	28%	91534
Odisha	Bargarh	GEN	BJD	BJP	11178	752015	53%	43639
Odisha	Bolangir	GEN	BJD	BJP	104299	920886	59%	90131
Odisha	Dhenkanal	GEN	BJD	BJP	137340	800918	59%	96254
Odisha	Kalahandi	GEN	BJD	BJP	56347	842832	57%	59048
Rajasthan	Dausa	(ST)	BJP	NPP	45404	388773	26%	122736
Uttarakhand	Almora	(SC)	BJP	INC	95690	722564	58%	280926
Uttarakhand	Garhwal	GEN	BJP	INC	184526	540188	43%	175792
Uttarakhand	Tehri Garhwal	GEN	BJP	INC	192503	353086	26%	656194

Good Value Constituencies

These are non-ST Constituencies where potential forest rights holders voters are between 30%-50% of the eligible voters in the constituency.

State	PC Name	PC Type	winner Party 2014	Losing Party 2014	Margin 2014	Voters eligible for FRA rights	% total voters eligible of FRA rights	Minimum Forest area eligible for FRA recognition (ha)
Chhattisgarh	Mahasamund	GEN	BJP	INC	1217	509706	34%	127947
Gujarat	Panchmahal	GEN	BJP	INC	170596	632610	40%	75873
HP	Kangra	GEN	BJP	INC	170072	472986	38%	347773
HP	Mandi	GEN	BJP	INC	39856	443461	39%	506772
Jharkhand	Giridih	GEN	BJP	JMM	40313	586067	39%	113423
Jharkhand	Singhbhum	(SC)	BJP	JBSP	87524	507703	44%	123779
Karnataka	Bidar	GEN	BJP	INC	92222	597579	37%	44822
Karnataka	Dakshina Kannada	GEN	BJP	INC	143709	576966	37%	141619
Karnataka	Shimoga	GEN	BJP	INC	363305	485649	31%	254062
Karnataka	Udupi Chikmagalur	GEN	BJP	INC	181643	450594	32%	204342
Karnataka	Uttara Kannada	GEN	BJP	INC	140700	676939	47%	869255
Kerala	Alathur	(SC)	CPM	INC	37312	437200	36%	58756
Kerala	Palakkad	GEN	CPM	SJ(D)	105300	431384	36%	84487
Kerala	Wayanad	GEN	INC	CPI	20870	582397	47%	127495
MP	Balaghat	GEN	BJP	INC	96041	737306	45%	178035
MP	Chhindwara	GEN	INC	BJP	116537	587436	42%	232452
MP	Damoh	GEN	BJP	INC	213299	589040	36%	145252
MP	Khandwa	GEN	BJP	INC	259714	563119	32%	131256
Maharashtra	Ahmednagar	GEN	BJP	NCP	209122	642417	38%	78926
Maharashtra	Baramati	GEN	NCP	RSP	69719	683738	38%	77815
Maharashtra	Bhandara-Gondiya	GEN	BJP	NCP	149254	749053	45%	126163
Maharashtra	Madha	GEN	NCP	SWP	25344	522514	30%	44302
Maharashtra	Raigad	GEN	SHS	NCP	2110	501565	33%	117788
Maharashtra	Ramtek	(SC)	SHS	INC	175791	558625	33%	95900
Maharashtra	Shirdi	(SC)	SHS	INC	199922	469207	32%	75333
Maharashtra	Shirur	GEN	SHS	NCP	301814	568151	31%	69447
Maharashtra	Wardha	GEN	BJP	INC	215783	565992	36%	62270
Odisha	Aska	GEN	BJD	INC	311997	450145	32%	20747
Odisha	Balasore	GEN	BJD	BJP	141825	597779	44%	11985
Odisha	Berhampur	GEN	BJD	INC	127720	437969	33%	91339
Odisha	Cuttack	GEN	BJD	INC	306762	452635	33%	33963
Odisha	Jajpur	(SC)	BJD	INC	320271	522418	40%	32332
Odisha	Puri	GEN	BJD	INC	263361	443887	32%	22739
Rajasthan	Jhalawar-Baran	GEN	BJP	INC	281546	674337	40%	325712
West Bengal	Purulia	GEN	AITC	AIFB	153877	593474	40%	45273

Medium Value Constituencies

These are non-ST Constituencies where potential forest rights holders voters are between 20%-30% of the eligible voters in the constituency.

State	PC Name	PC Type	winner Party 2014	Losing Party 2014	Margin 2014	Voters eligible for FRA rights	% total voters eligible of FRA rights	Minimum Forest area eligible for FRA recognition (ha)
Andhra Pradesh	Hindupur	GEN	TDP	YSRC	97325	336878	23%	82407
Andhra Pradesh	Nellore	GEN	YSRC	TDP	13478	341816	21%	71387
Andhra Pradesh	Rajampet	GEN	YSRC	BJP	174762	361865	24%	75217
Andhra Pradesh	Tirupati	(SC)	YSRC	BJP	37425	366163	23%	146896
Bihar	Jamui	(SC)	LJP	RJD	85947	366171	24%	83713
Chhattisgarh	Janjgir-Champa	(SC)	BJP	INC	174961	357947	21%	49337
Chhattisgarh	Rajnandgaon	GEN	BJP	INC	235911	378587	24%	121934
Gujarat	Sabarkantha	GEN	BJP	INC	84455	419246	26%	96464
HP	Hamirpur	GEN	BJP	INC	98403	310825	25%	68621
HP	Shimla	(SC)	BJP	INC	84187	240290	21%	199157
Jharkhand	Ranchi	GEN	BJP	INC	199303	458347	28%	85558
Kerala	Idukki	GEN	IND	INC	50542	335021	29%	228731
Madhya Pradesh	Guna	GEN	INC	BJP	120792	329634	21%	136827
Madhya Pradesh	Khajuraho	GEN	BJP	INC	247490	503515	30%	90828
Madhya Pradesh	Sagar	GEN	BJP	INC	120737	375051	25%	113202
Madhya Pradesh	Satna	GEN	BJP	INC	8688	425270	29%	192760
Madhya Pradesh	Tikamgarh	(SC)	BJP	INC	208731	371293	24%	71544
Madhya Pradesh	Vidisha	GEN	BJP	INC	410698	478198	29%	309175
Maharashtra	Bhiwandi	GEN	BJP	INC	109450	438747	26%	167106
Maharashtra	Chandrapur	GEN	BJP	INC	236269	452258	26%	168213
Maharashtra	Dhule	GEN	BJP	INC	130723	484420	29%	118647
Maharashtra	Hingoli	GEN	INC	SHS	1632	405378	26%	136603
Maharashtra	Jalna	GEN	BJP	INC	206798	335921	21%	48180
Maharashtra	Ratnagiri-Sindhudurg	GEN	SHS	INC	150051	289741	21%	56938
Maharashtra	Raver	GEN	BJP	NCP	318068	342112	21%	48844
Maharashtra	Sangli	GEN	BJP	INC	239292	353644	21%	29644
Maharashtra	Satara	GEN	NCP	IND	366594	463865	27%	105443
Maharashtra	Yavatmal-Washim	GEN	SHS	INC	93816	514738	29%	136243
Rajasthan	Bharatpur	(SC)	BJP	INC	245468	446550	26%	87530
Rajasthan	Bhilwara	GEN	BJP	INC	246264	470581	27%	127138
Rajasthan	Chittorgarh	GEN	BJP	INC	316857	390077	21%	201878
Rajasthan	Jaipur Rural	GEN	BJP	INC	332896	409036	24%	80168
Rajasthan	Jalore	(SC)	BJP	INC	381145	416921	23%	188201
Rajasthan	Karauli-Dholpur	(SC)	BJP	INC	27216	399796	26%	225838
Rajasthan	Kota	GEN	BJP	INC	200782	351084	20%	203572
Rajasthan	Tonk-Sawai Madhopur	GEN	BJP	INC	135311	369665	22%	115966
Tamil Nadu	Dharmapuri	GEN	PMK	AIADMK	77146	379150	28%	182933
Tamil Nadu	Krishnagiri	GEN	AIADMK	DMK	206591	278530	20%	148844
Telangana	Khammam	GEN	YSRC	TDP	11974	299974	21%	175647
Telangana	Medak	GEN	TRS	INC	361277	315287	21%	54780
Telangana	Nizamabad	GEN	TRS	INC	167184	307474	21%	90611
Telangana	Zahirabad	GEN	TRS	INC	144631	375398	26%	84021
Uttar Pradesh	Hamirpur	GEN	BJP	SP	266788	352897	20%	40312
Uttar Pradesh	Jhansi	GEN	BJP	SP	190467	465853	24%	59338
Uttar Pradesh	Robertsganj	(SC)	BJP	BSP	190486	479134	29%	142184
West Bengal	Alipurduars	(SC)	AITC	RSP	21397	352159	24%	82179
West Bengal	Bankura	GEN	AITC	CPM	98506	321601	21%	52505